11.
By: Cyprus College for Sigma TV (see poll number
2 for earlier poll by Cyprus College)
Subjects: 1,204
Period: carried out between January 30 and February 3
Statistical error: 2.7 per cent.
Candidate
|
Percentage (A' Round)
|
Percentage (B' Round)
|
Iacovou |
34.7%
|
40.5%
|
Clerides |
35.5%
|
42.0%
|
Lyssaridis |
8.7%
|
-
|
Vassiliou |
6.0%
|
-
|
Galanos |
4.3%
|
-
|
Koutsou |
1.5%
|
-
|
Rolandis |
0.8%
|
-
|
Blank |
2.2%
|
3.4%
|
Undecided |
6.4%
|
13.6%
|
Did not reply |
-
|
0.4%
|
-
The majority of young voters - at 47 per cent - would vote for Clerides
in the first round, according to the poll, with only 19 per cent voting
for Iacovou.
-
Those voting Diko in 1996 were shown to give 41 per cent of their first
round vote to Iacovou, 24 per cent to Galanos, 13 per cent to Clerides
and 6 per cent to other candidates. A crucial 16 per cent were still
undecided.
-
Source Cyprus Mail
10.
By: Cymar and VPRC (see poll number 5 for an earlier poll
by the same companies)
Subjects: 1,000
Period: carried out between January 28
Candidate
|
Percentage (A' Round)
|
Percentage (A' Round)(after allocation of
Undecided
and Blank votes)
|
Percentage (B' Round)
|
Iacovou |
34.9%
|
40.0%
|
40.1%
|
Clerides |
33.6%
|
38.5%
|
40.6%
|
Lyssaridis |
11.0%
|
12.6%
|
-
|
Vassiliou |
3.4%
|
3.9%
|
-
|
Galanos |
3.6%
|
4.1%
|
-
|
Koutsou |
0.7%
|
0.8%
|
-
|
Rolandis |
0.1%
|
0.2%
|
-
|
Blank |
1.5%
|
-
|
4.1%
|
Undecided |
5.9%
|
-
|
10.0%
|
Did not reply |
5.2%
|
-
|
5.2%
|
-
Both Disy and Akel show strong cohesion. More than 90 per cent of both
parties come out in support of their man.
-
But Diko still has a problem. Less than half of its voters (42.4 per cent)
backed Iacovou - up over the 34.7 per cent figure in the January 8 to 18
poll. There was a move towards Lyssarides (from 2.3 per cent to 8 per
cent),
Galanos remained steady with 17.6 per cent, while the number of undecided
Diko voters fell from 19.9 per cent to 10.1 per cent.
-
Clerides still polled best among new voters but, his percentage fell from
45.1 per cent to 38 per cent. Significant developments among new voters
were the jump in support for Lyssarides - from 2.2 per cent to 11 per cent
- and the fall in the number of those still undecided, from 24.2 per cent
to 12.3 per cent.
-
The poll shows a drop in the number of Edek voters opting for Clerides
in the second round (from 30.2 per cent to 18.4 per cent), but not in
favour
of Iacovou, who retains basically the same share of some 33 per cent.
Instead,
nearly one in two Edek voters said they were either undecided or would
cast a blank.
-
Among Galanos voters there was a clear second round preference for
Clerides:
77.4 per cent with 22 per cent undecided or blank and none for Iacovou.
Clerides gained ground among Vassiliou supporters - from 7.3 per cent to
37.8 per cent, while Iacovou slipped from 53 per cent to 33 per cent.
Another
29 per cent were undecided.
-
Source Cyprus Mail
9.
By: Avgoustis & Associates,
Subjects: 1,050 of whom 131 (12.5 per cent) refused to
participate
Period: January 29 and February 2
Method: By telephone
Candidate
|
Percentage (A' Round)
|
Percentage (A' Round)(after allocation of
Undecided
and Blank votes)
|
Percentage (B' Round)
|
Iacovou |
35.91%
|
39.80%
|
40.15%
|
Clerides |
34.93%
|
38.72%
|
42.11%
|
Lyssaridis |
8.38%
|
9.29%
|
-
|
Vassiliou |
3.92%
|
4.34%
|
-
|
Galanos |
3.81%
|
4.23%
|
-
|
Koutsou |
1.20%
|
1.33%
|
-
|
Rolandis |
2.07%
|
2.29%
|
-
|
Blank |
1.63%
|
-
|
2.29%
|
Undecided |
8.15%
|
-
|
15.45%
|
-
Organisers acknowledged that telephone polls had disadvantages compared
to the door to door method, and that this could account for the relatively
high percentage of undecided voters, even though the elections are only
a few days away.
-
According to the Avgoustis poll, 48 per cent of Diko voters said they
would
vote for Iacovou, 20 per cent backed Galanos, 21 per cent were undecided,
2 per cent were blank, 2 per cent chose Clerides and 7 per cent someone
else.
-
Iacovou's candidacy secures the support of 87 per cent of Akel voters.
Six per cent of Akel voters said they would vote for Vassiliou and another
6 per cent were undecided.
-
Among Disy voters, 92 per cent said they would vote for Clerides and 8
per cent said someone else.
-
Among Edek voters, 78 per cent chose Lyssarides, 16 per cent chose
Iacovou,
1 per cent were undecided, 3 per cent chose Clerides and 2 per cent said
someone else.
-
Overall, Iacovou takes 64 per cent of his votes from Akel, 20 per cent
from Diko, 9 per cent from new voters and 7 per cent from
others.
-
Clerides secures 92 per cent of his support from Disy, 6 per cent from
new voters and 2 per cent from others.
-
Lyssarides takes 74 per cent from Edek, 9 per cent from Diko and 17 per
cent from others.
-
And Vassiliou takes 46 per cent from the United Democrats, 40 per cent
from Akel and 14 per cent from others.
-
Source Cyprus Mail
8.
By: AMER for ANT1 TV
Subjects:
Period:
Candidate
|
Percentage (A' Round)
|
Percentage (B' Round)
|
Iacovou |
38.9%
|
47.1%
|
Clerides |
36.5%
|
45.6%
|
Lyssaridis |
9.0%
|
-
|
Vassiliou |
5.9%
|
-
|
Galanos |
4.2%
|
-
|
Koutsou |
1.9%
|
-
|
Rolandis |
0.6%
|
-
|
Blank |
1.0%
|
3.7%
|
Undecided |
2.0%
|
3.7%
|
7.
By: Intercollege for Logos TV
Subjects: 1155
Period: 17-26 January
Candidate
|
Percentage (A' Round)
|
Percentage (A' Round)(after allocation of
Undecided
and Blank votes)
|
Percentage (B' Round)
|
Iacovou |
32.8%
|
37.2%
|
40.2%
|
Clerides |
33.7%
|
38.3%
|
41.6%
|
Lyssaridis |
8.0%
|
9.1%
|
-
|
Vassiliou |
7.4%
|
8.4%
|
-
|
Galanos |
3.8%
|
4.3%
|
-
|
Koutsou |
1.3%
|
1.5%
|
-
|
Rolandis |
1.0%
|
1.1%
|
-
|
Blank |
3.6%
|
-
|
5.1%
|
Undecided |
7.9%
|
-
|
12.1%
|
Did not answer |
0.5%
|
-
|
1%
|
6.
By: Cyprus
Research and Consulting
Subjects: 650
Period: 20-26 January
Place: Towns and Villages in all districts of Cyprus
Method: Simple preference question for 1st and 2nd round of
the elections (by telephone)
Candidate
|
Percentage (A' Round)
|
Percentage (B' Round)
|
Iacovou |
45.21%
|
52.77%
|
Clerides |
36.82%
|
47.23%
|
Lyssaridis |
6.98%
|
-
|
Vassiliou |
3.11%
|
-
|
Galanos |
1.21%
|
-
|
Koutsou |
2.13%
|
-
|
Rolandis |
0.92%
|
-
|
Blank - Undecided |
3.62%
|
-
|
5.
By: CyBC (conducted by Cymar Market Research and Greek
company VPRC)
Subjects: 1,200
Period: 8-18 January
Candidate
|
Percentage (A' Round)
|
Percentage (A' Round)(after allocation of
Undecided
and Blank votes)
|
Percentage (B' Round)
|
Iacovou |
30.9 %
|
37.1%
|
37.1%
|
Clerides |
34.8 %
|
41.9 %
|
41.7 %
|
Lyssaridis |
8.2 %
|
9.9 %
|
-
|
Vassiliou |
3.6 %
|
4.3 %
|
-
|
Galanos |
4.0 %
|
4.8 %
|
-
|
Koutsou |
1.6 %
|
2.0 %
|
-
|
Rolandis |
0.1 %
|
0.1 %
|
-
|
Blank |
2.9 %
|
-
|
4.1 %
|
Undecided (not allocated) |
8.8 %
|
-
|
11.7 %
|
No answer |
5.3 %
|
-
|
5.2 %
|
4.
By: Antenna TV (carried out by Amer Research)
Subjects: 803
Period:
Candidate
|
Percentage (A' Round)
|
Percentage (B' Round)
|
Iacovou |
36.6 %
|
44.5%
|
Clerides |
36.1 %
|
44.6 %
|
Lyssaridis |
8.6 %
|
-
|
Vassiliou |
5.0 %
|
-
|
Galanos |
3.7 %
|
-
|
Koutsou |
1.3 %
|
-
|
Rolandis |
1.0 %
|
-
|
Blank |
2.3 %
|
3.5 %
|
Undecided (not allocated) |
5.0 %
|
7.4 %
|
-
The Cyprus problem figures prominently in determining voters' choices,
with 38.5 per cent of those polled saying they would put how it was
handled
above the political or personal characteristics of the candidates.
-
Sixty-three per cent of those intending to vote Vassiliou in the first
round say they will give their votes to Iacovou in a second, while only
12.8 per cent will give it to Clerides. Twenty per cent remain
undecided.
-
Over 75 per cent of Alexis Galanos's supporters will vote for Clerides
in a second round and 49.9 per cent of Koutsou's, a further 15 per cent
of whom would rather cast a blank vote than give it to Iacovou.
-
Iacovou, however, will garner many Lyssarides voters, 41.9 per cent, but
some 36.9 per cent will turn to Clerides.
-
Almost 65 per cent Rolandis's supporters will also give their votes to
Clerides, but 23.9 per cent would favour Iacovou.
-
Of Disy supporters, 95.4 per cent will vote Clerides in the second round,
while 2.7 per cent will give their vote to Iacovou.
-
Clerides will also receive 38.8 per cent of Diko voters and 28.3 per cent
from Edek. It is notable that none of the Akel supporters polled would
vote for Clerides in any circumstances. Iacovou will garner 97.4 per cent
of the Akel vote, 49.1 per cent of the Diko vote and 47.2 per cent of the
Edek vote.
-
Nearly half those polled, 48.1 per cent, believe Clerides is a good
president,
while 31.8 per cent believe he is only fair and 18.3 per cent think he's
a bad president.
-
Surprisingly, 12.2 per cent of Akel supporters think Clerides is a good
president while only 88 per cent of his own party Disy think so.
-
Of Akel supporters, 43.5 per cent said Clerides is only a fair president,
as did 49 per cent of Diko supporters.
-
The biggest majority viewing Clerides as a bad president were,
unsurprisingly,
Akel voters at 43 per cent, followed by Edek with 22.7 per cent, Diko with
8.6 per cent and Disy with 1.5 per cent.
-
Almost half those polled believe the government is correctly handling the
Cyprus problem, 29.2 per cent said it had a "so-so" approach and 20 per
cent said its handling of the issue was bad. Again, Akel supporters were
the biggest critics, though the government received a grudging "so-so"
endorsement from 41.7 per cent of them.
-
Of all those polled, just 38.5 per cent were "very satisfied" with
Clerides's
handling of the Cyprus problem, 18.9 per cent with his handling of the
economy and 24 per cent with his handling of internal issues. At the same
time, those polled seemed to believe the president was still the best man
for the job. On a list of issues and who would be better at handling them,
50.4 per cent believe Clerides is the best for defence with Iacovou and
Lyssarides poor seconds with 25.2 and 22.6 per cent respectively.
-
Clerides is also voted best person to handle the EU issue, gaining the
endorsement of 53.5 per cent of those polled.
-
Source Cyprus Mail
3.
By: "Avgoustis kai syvergates" research company
Subjects: 750
Period: 10-17 January 1998
Candidate
|
Percentage (A' Round)
|
Percentage (A' Round)(after allocation of
Undecided
and Blank votes)
|
Percentage (B' Round)
|
Iacovou |
38.85 %
|
42.81 %
|
43.84 %
|
Clerides |
38.15 %
|
42.04 %
|
42.12 %
|
Lyssaridis |
5.61 %
|
6.18 %
|
-
|
Vassiliou |
3.36 %
|
3.71 %
|
-
|
Galanos |
1.68 %
|
1.86 %
|
-
|
Koutsou |
1.12 %
|
1.24 %
|
-
|
Rolandis |
1.96 %
|
2.16 %
|
-
|
Blank |
2.10 %
|
-
|
2.29 %
|
Undecided (not allocated) |
7.17 %
|
-
|
11.75 %
|
- According to the poll, 88 per cent of Akel's 1996 voters back the
party's
choice of Iacovou, 8 per cent are undecided and 4 per cent
opt for
Vassiliou. Disy supporters (in 1996) are loyal - only 6 per
cent said they
would not vote for Clerides. The greatest confusion is in
Diko where only
53 per cent of the Diko voters of 1996 opted for Iacovou.
The next
biggest group (20 per cent) were undecided, 15 per cent
opted for
former Diko vice president Galanos, 5 per cent said
Clerides and 4 per
cent were blank.
- Of Edek voters 77 per cent backed Lyssarides, 13 per
cent
were
undecided, 4 per cent chose Iacovou, 2 per cent Clerides
and 4 per cent
another candidate.
- The same poll shows Iacovou's votes coming mainly from
Akel
(73 per
cent) and Diko (23 per cent). New voters represent 3 per
cent and
others only 1 per cent. Clerides' votes come from Disy (89
per cent);
first-time voters represent 3 per cent and others 8 per
cent. Lyssarides
votes come from Edek (91 per cent), Diko (6 per cent) and
others 3 per
cent. Finally Vassiliou takes 54 per cent of his votes from
his United
Democrats, 42 per cent from Akel and 4 per cent from
others.
2.
By: Cyprus College (For SIGMA TV)
Subjects: 1500
Candidate
|
Percentage
|
Iacovou |
34.6 %
|
Clerides |
33.9 %
|
Lyssaridis |
7.0 %
|
Vassiliou |
6.3 %
|
Galanos |
3.2 %
|
Koutsou |
1.2 %
|
Rolandis |
0.6 %
|
Blank |
3.8 %
|
Undecided (not allocated) |
9.4 %
|
Questions:
-
How are 1996 DHSY voters responding: Clerides 96%, Others 4%
-
How are 1996 AKEL voters respodning: Iacovou 86%, Vasiliou 11%, Others
3%
-
How are 1996 DHKO voters respodning: Iacovou 48%, Galanos 19%, undecided
19%, Clerides 9%, Blank 5%
-
How are 1996 EDEK voters respodning: Lyssaridis 86%, Iacovou 6%, undecided
6%, Other 2%
-
How are new voters respodning: Clerides 35%, Undecided 31%, Iacovou 21%,
Lyssaridis 5%
-
Iacovou's voters: AKEL 70%, DHKO 20%, New voters 7%, Others 3%
-
Cleride's voters: DHSY 82%, New voters 12%, Others 6%
-
Lyssaridis' voters: EDEK 85%, New voters 8%, Others 7%
-
Vasiliou voters: KED/ADHSOK 49%, AKEL 47%, Others 4%
-
Undecided voters: New voters 37%, DHKO 29%, Blank 18%, AKEL 9%, Others
7%
1.
By: Eurosearch
Date: 2-8 January 1998
Subjects: 1300
Candidate
|
Percentage
|
Percentage (after allocation of Undecided and Blank
votes)
|
Clerides |
35.9% |
40.3% |
Iacovou |
31.7% |
37.1% |
Lyssaridis |
7.6% |
8.6% |
Vassiliou |
5.4% |
6.6% |
Galanos |
4.2% |
5.5% |
Koutsou |
1.7% |
1.7% |
Rolandis |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Blank |
3.3% |
|
Undecided |
9% |
|
|